July 29, 2020
Is the current bull market coming to an end, or about to resume? …….
Investing is a long term exercise. Many have cited that the current bull run has been going on for too long and a bear market is now inevitable. I disagree, the back drop to the current stock surge was the GFC (Global Financial Crisis) which was a once in a 100 year event and a banking crisis. Today we do not have that, we are not even in a recession. The bull market post the Great Depression lasted 13.9 years and saw a total return of 815.30%. Currently we are 9 years into a bull market with a total return of less than 400%. More to come, I think so! To see the past bull and bear markets for the S&P500 in the last century – click below.
What has historically happened to the S&P 500 after a 4% one day drop? Is this a correction or will things get worse for global stocks?
February 13, 2018
Warren Buffett once said "What we learn from history is that people don't learn from history". He was referring to fear and greed and the most common mistake repeated consistently - thinking that "this time it's different"! So is it different this time? I'm not sure that's the right question at this particular moment in time. As I wrote in my 2018 market outlook back in January, there are lots of positives in the world and economic data is strong, however a correction was very much needed.
1 day to go - Who will win & what will be the impact on your investments?
November 07, 2016
will the 'Greferendum' lead to a 'Grexit'? - what next for Greece?
July 02, 2015
Greece defaulted on its payments back to the IMF and joined the ranks of Zimbabwe and Sudan, and its European bailout expired. Not a great day! The failed payment of $1.7 billion to the global lender of last resort meant that Greece became the first advanced economy to default. Alexis Tsipras, the Greek Premier called for a referendum, to be held on 5th July on further budget cuts and austerity proposals.
US GDP grows 3.9% in Q3 - are rate hikes now imminent?
November 25, 2014